LPXPoly — AI-Powered Polymarket Analysis

Find edge in prediction markets using AI probability estimation vs current market prices. Pay ~50 sats per analysis via Bitcoin Lightning. No subscription, no account.

When to Use

Finding mispriced markets on Polymarket
Getting AI probability assessment on specific events
Scanning for arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets
Comparing AI model probability vs crowd wisdom
Browsing top markets by volume or category

Tools

`get_edge_opportunities`

Scans Polymarket for markets where AI probability significantly diverges from market price.

"Find edge opportunities on Polymarket"
→ Returns top mispriced markets with AI vs market probability delta
→ Sorted by edge magnitude
→ Includes recommended position (YES/NO) and confidence

`analyze_market`

Deep AI analysis of a specific Polymarket market.

"Analyze the Fed rate cut market"
→ Returns AI probability estimate with reasoning
→ Includes key factors, risks, and recommended position size
→ Compares to current market price

`get_top_markets`

Browse top Polymarket markets by volume, filtered by category.

"What are the top crypto markets on Polymarket?"
→ Returns markets sorted by volume
→ Filter by: crypto, politics, sports, science, tech, world

`check_balance`

Check your Lightning balance before running expensive scans.

"How much Lightning balance do I have?"
→ Returns current sats balance
→ Includes link to top up if low

Behavior Guidelines

Before a full market scan: 1. check_balance — confirm enough sats for the scan 2. get_edge_opportunities — retrieve top mispriced markets 3. Present findings with edge delta and confidence

For a specific market: 1. analyze_market with market name or URL 2. Return AI probability, reasoning, and position recommendation

Cost awareness: - Each get_edge_opportunities call: ~50 sats - Each analyze_market call: ~50 sats - Warn if balance < 200 sats before a multi-analysis session

Example Interactions

User: "Find edge opportunities on Polymarket"

You: check_balance → get_edge_opportunities → present top 5 markets with edge delta, AI probability vs market price, and recommended positions

User: "What does AI think about the Bitcoin ETF approval market?"

You: analyze_market("Bitcoin ETF approval") → return AI probability estimate, key factors, comparison to market price, recommended position

User: "What are the biggest crypto prediction markets right now?"

You: get_top_markets(category="crypto") → return top markets by volume with current prices

Payment

~50 sats per analysis. Pay with Bitcoin Lightning. Get a spend token at lightningprox.com.

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "lpxpoly": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["lpxpoly-mcp"],
      "env": {
        "LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN": "lnpx_your_token_here"
      }
    }
  }
}

Security Manifest

Permission	Scope	Reason
Network	lpxpoly.com, lightningprox.com	Market data and Lightning payment
Env Read	LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN	Authentication for paid analysis calls

Trust Statement

LPXPoly is part of the AIProx ecosystem, operated by LPX Digital Group LLC. Market analysis is AI-generated probability estimation — not financial advice. Sats deducted from LightningProx balance per successful analysis only. Operated at lpxpoly.com.

lpxpoly

Installation